2021 Russell Index Reconstitution Results
By Payal Shah
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There are times, especially after major market downturns, that value can be found in both the value and growth indexes. There are distinct differences in the sector weights within the two style indexes; as such, major moves in particular sectors can have an outsized influence on the relevant index performance. This is especially true when we look at these indices throughout the COVID-19 pandemic.

From the start of the pandemic, marked by the market low on March 23, 2020, to the all-time highs of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq on September 2, 2020, the best performing sectors were technology and consumer discretionary. Both  ofthese sectors represent a much larger portion of the Growth Indexes: 60% of the Russell 1000 Growth Index and 35% of the Russell 2000 Growth Index. In contrast, they only account for about 20% of the Value Indexes. During this phase, growth outperformed value.

Also of note is that tech represents a much larger share of the Russell 1000 Growth Indexes than the Russell 2000 Growth Index. That bias also explains why large caps were outperforming in the early part of 2020 and at the start of the pandemic.

Since the all-time highs of September 2, 2020, it’s been an entirely different story. Since then, the best performing sectors have been energy and financials. The combination of those two sectors account for only 2-4% of the two Russell Growth indexes, yet they account for 26% of the large cap Russell 1000 Value Indexes (and an even loftier 32% of the small cap Russell 2000 Value Index). In other words, the narrative over Q4 2020  has been that small cap value has been outperforming.

Driven by numerous fundamental factors, the interplay between growth and value stocks will continue to be a focus for U.S. investors. CME Group’s E-mini Russell Index futures can be used as a risk management tool to hedge the shifts in the Growth and Value Indexes. Russell 1000 Value futures have shown tremendous growth since the 2020 reconstitution, with open interest reaching a record high of 43,302 on June 17, 2021.

Exhibit 6: E-mini Russell 1000 Value Futures
2021-russell-index-reconstitution-results-fig06.jpg
Source: CME Group

Russell 2000 as an Economic Indicator

The performance of the Russell 2000 in 2021 paves the way for its inclusion as one of the major U.S. equity indices, alongside the Nasdaq-100, the S&P 500, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Exhibit 7: Major U.S. Equity Indices Prices, March 2020 - Present
2021-russell-index-reconstitution-results-fig07.jpg
Source: Bloomberg LLC

Investors look to equity markets for signs of the health of the U.S. economy. The close correlation of the Russell 2000 to these counterparts, particularly the Nasdaq-100, strengthens its role as an economic indicator.

The annual Russell Reconstitution provides numerous opportunities for market participants to trade and state their opinion about US. .equity markets, and CME Group’s suite of Russell Index futures provides convenient and cost-efficient tools for hedging that exposure.

Amid these historical swings, investors have been utilizing the small cap futures market at record levels, seeking vehicles to enhance portfolio performance and manage market risk. Since the start of the year, we have seen notable increases in volume on Russell 2000 Index-based futures (RTY) as market participants have used our markets to manage small-cap equity market price risk amid significant levels of volatility and continued uncertainty.

 

[1] https://content.ftserussell.com/sites/default/files/2021_russell_us_indexes_reconstitution_recap.pdf

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About the author

Payal Shah
Payal Shah

is Director of Equity Research and Product Development at CME Group. She is based in London.

 

 

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