FEBRUARY 2024

The FX Report

 Futures & Options | Spot | NDF

 

In this edition: A look at CME FX Spot+, the unique liquidity connection between OTC FX spot and FX futures expected later this year; liquidity growth in Mexican Peso and Brazilian Real futures; EBS Market enhancements, and more.

  • 27 Feb 2024
  • By CME Group

Increased liquidity attracts traders to Mexican Peso and Brazilian Real futures

Against the backdrop of continued economic growth and the uncertain global interest rate environment, Mexican Peso (MXN) and Brazilian Real (BRL) futures at CME Group recently set new highs for volume and open interest. These records were driven by heightened client participation and increased support from liquidity providers. Over 6,000 users from nearly 90 countries actively traded BRL and MXN futures at CME Group in 2023.

  Average Daily Volume Year-on-year (%) Average Daily Open Interest Year-on-year (%)
MXN futures $2.7 billion 25.7% $7.7 billion 6.6%
BRL futures $382 million 57.5% $1.6 billion 116%
LatAm (MXN + BRL) futures $3.1 billion 28.9% $9.3 billion 16.9%

Source: CME Group data as of Dec. 2023

Explore the latest trends and analysis in the LatAm market.

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Interview: The Full FX Unfiltered – with CME Group

Watch Paul Houston, Global Head of FX at CME Group, discuss CME FX Spot+, a next generation, all-to-all FX marketplace, emphasizing its relevance and capacity to access a broader market participant base.

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Price into EBS Market with minimal signaling and market impact

Market impact has become a crucial barometer of the cost of FX trade execution, as any adverse movement in the market subsequently reduces profitability. In this article, we explore how EBS Market’s price discretion order minimizes price signaling and lowers post-trade impact, offering a means to distribute liquidity and reduce footprint over hedging of natural interest.

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CME Group wins Outstanding FX Trading Venue award

CME Group FX took home the Leaders in Trading 2023: Outstanding FX Trading Venue Award. Paul Houston speaks to The TRADE about 2023 business growth, 2024 planned product expansion and the evolution of the FX swaps and options markets.

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You Can Quote Us on That: How to trade CME FX options strategies

The previous edition in this series looked at why delta-hedged options and options strategies are so popular among FX options traders. The next question often is “How can someone trade an options strategy?” Discover how to submit and trade options strategies through CME Direct as well as third-party trading platforms, such as Metro and TT.

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Introducing CME FX Spot+

Connecting OTC spot FX and futures liquidity. Available for testing in H2 2024.

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Assessing the quarterly roll

The December roll period was characterized by strong improvements in roll liquidity, as evidenced by increased top-of-book (TOB) depth and improvements in TOB execution costs across G5 pairs during the primary roll week. December roll spread average TOB depth across the G5 pairs was ~$1.5 billion, +128% vs. the prior four roll periods, while the G5 pairs were quoted at the MPI (typically 0.2 futures ticks) approximately 97%-99% of regular trading hours in the primary roll week.

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December average top of book depth in notional ($billion) during the primary roll week (RTH)

PAIR DECEMBER 2023 PRIOR 4Q CHNG. VS. AVG.
EUR/USD $1.1 $0.8 +39%
JPY/USD $1.1 $0.2 +365%
GBP/USD $3.1 $1.0 +194%
AUD/USD $0.5 $0.4 +13%
CAD/USD $1.9 $0.9 +105%

Source: CME Group

Displayed top of book execution cost, in ticks, during the primary roll week (RTH)

PAIR December 2023 % OF TIME AT FUTURES MPI
EUR/USD 0.21 97%
JPY/USD 0.21 97%
GBP/USD 0.50 99%
AUD/USD 0.21 97%
CAD/USD 0.20 99%

Source: CME Group
Note: All data and figures as of December 2023 unless otherwise noted.

Taiwanese Dollar NDF on EBS Market: natural interest and depth of liquidity

Explore how EBS Market continues to enhance liquidity through changes in the matching algorithm for TWD NDF, amidst a surge in trading volumes in Q4 2023.

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Five FX themes to watch in 2024

Heading into 2024 and reflecting on 2023, the ongoing transformation within the FX market is evident. Looking ahead, what are the primary themes expected to dominate and influence the FX market in the coming year?

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