Prospects for 2022 Tech Earnings
In my last piece, I noted that although the stock market was in the midst of a correction, the market’s movements were more emotional and fundamentals still looked strong in big tech. The S&P 500 is trading its cheapest since before the pandemic, with a current P/E ratio of about 25.6. Earnings and revenues are projected to grow year-over-year for Q1 2022 by close to 4% and 10% respectively. The “great re-opening” took longer than expected in the United States, and with almost all states having no remaining COVID restrictions in place, companies should be reporting growth in Q1 as we inch back to normalcy.
Inflation and supply chain constraints will continue to be a theme in the coming quarters, and forecasts may be a bit muted in lieu of those themes. However, fundamentals in big tech remain strong and will look to provide support for a resurgence in their respective stock prices. The coming weeks’ earnings reports will be telling not only for the Q1 revenue numbers, but perhaps more importantly how they forecast the coming year and beyond.
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