Highlights
  • A new all-time high COMEX active month gold price of $2,488.40/oz. was established on July 17, 2024. The rising expectation of the Federal Reserve rate cut in September was drawing sponsorship as we can see from the elevated managed money net positions. With that said, the hotter-than-expected PCE and profit-taking capped the monthly price gain at 5.7% ($2,473.0/oz.).
  • Silver prices were under pressure towards the second half of July without its yellow counterpart leading the upward momentum and the weak industrial demand for the metal. The prices eventually closed out July at $28.940/oz., down 2.1% MoM.
  • High level of global inventories, persistent weak Chinese demand and lack of fresh stimulus to support the property market in mainland China had led to a 4.9% monthly copper price decline, which settled July at $4.1765/lb.
  • Micro Gold futures (MGC) and Micro Silver futures continued to trade actively with QTD average daily volume (ADV) of 105,982 contracts and 19,651 contracts, up 68% and 88% respectively, compared to the same period last year. 
 

Micro Gold (MGC), Micro Silver (SIL) and Micro Copper (MHG) Futures Update

MGC, SIL and MHG price movement and daily range (expressed in terms of one lot notional)

*Intraday price movement is expressed as the difference between the daily high price and the daily low price multiplied by the contract notional in troy ounce (MGC and SIL) and pounds (MHG).

Options Heatmap (Change in OI from July 1 to July 31, 2024)

Key Economic Events in August/September 2024:

Key Economic Event

ET

GMT / BST

SGT / HKT

U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI

Aug 1, 10.00 a.m.

Aug 1, 3.00 p.m.

Aug 1, 10.00 p.m.

U.S. Non Farm Payrolls

Aug 2, 8.30 a.m.

Aug 2, 1.30 p.m.

Aug 2, 8.30 p.m.

China Balance of Trade

Aug 7, 11.00 p.m.

Aug 8, 4.00 a.m.

Aug 8, 11.00 a.m.

China Inflation Rate YoY

Aug 8, 9.30 p.m.

Aug 9, 2.30 a.m.

Aug 9, 9.30 a.m.

U.S. Inflation Numbers

Aug 14, 8.30 a.m.

Aug 14, 1.30 p.m.

Aug 14, 8.30 p.m.

China Industrial Production YoY

Aug 14, 10.00 p.m.

Aug 15, 3.00 a.m.

Aug 15, 10.00 a.m.

FOMC Minutes

Aug 21, 2.00 p.m.

Aug 21, 7.00 p.m.

Aug 22, 2.00 a.m.

U.S. Core PCE Price Index

Aug 30, 8.30 a.m.

Aug 30, 1.30 p.m.

Aug 30, 8.30 p.m.

China NBS Manufacturing PMI

Aug 30, 9.30 p.m.

Aug 31, 2.30 a.m.

Aug 31, 9.30 a.m.

China Caixin Manufacturing PMI

Sep 1, 9.45 p.m.

Sep 2, 2.45 a.m.

Sep 2, 9.45 a.m.

U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI

Sep 3, 10.00 a.m.

Sep 3, 3.00 p.m.

Sep 3, 10.00 p.m.

U.S. Non Farm Payrolls

Sep 6, 8.30 a.m.

Sep 6, 1.30 p.m.

Sep 6, 8.30 p.m.

China Balance of Trade

Sep 6, 11.00 p.m.

Sep 7, 4.00 a.m.

Sep 7, 11.00 a.m.

China Inflation Rate YoY

Sep 8, 9.30 p.m.

Sep 9, 2.30 a.m.

Sep 9, 9.30 a.m.

U.S. Inflation Numbers

Sep 11, 8.30 a.m.

Sep 11, 1.30 p.m.

Sep 11, 8.30 p.m.

China Industrial Production YoY

Sep 13, 10.00 p.m.

Sep 14, 3.00 a.m.

Sep 14, 10.00 a.m.

U.S. Fed Interest Rate Decision, FOMC Economic Projections, and Fed Press Conference

Sep 18, 2.00 p.m.

Sep 18, 7.00 p.m.

Sep 19, 2.00 a.m.

U.S. Core PCE Price Index

Sep 27, 8.30 a.m.

Sep 27, 1.30 p.m.

Sep 27, 8.30 p.m.

China NBS Manufacturing PMI

Sep 29, 9.30 p.m.

Sep 30, 2.30 a.m.

Sep 30, 9.30 a.m.

China Caixin Manufacturing PMI

Sep 29, 9.45 p.m.

Sep 30, 2.45 a.m.

Sep 30, 9.30 a.m.

Source: CME Group, Quikstrike

Useful resources

Stay up-to-date with the latest probabilities of FOMC rate moves with the CME FedWatch Tool.

The Commitments of Traders (COT) tool can provide a comprehensive and highly configurable graphical representation of the CFTC's report on market open interest.

Build and test your trading strategies in a simulated environment with free pricing and analytics tools for CME Group markets. Choose from three ways to access exclusive, web-based tools developed by QuikStrike®.


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